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USD/RUB to Break Out from Symmetrical Triangle

September 29, 2015 (Last updated on October 5, 2015) by

Russian ruble has been consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern since late August. USD/RUB reached its most recent peak on the daily chart on August 24 (71.60). The formation of the pattern went by the book except for the upper border declining faster than the lower border is rising. This instance of symmetrical triangle follows a rather long uptrend and represents a classic continuation pattern. The bullish breakout looks imminent.

The yellow lines on the chart below mark the triangle pattern’s borders. The declining cyan line offers a buffered entry level for the upward breakout trade. The green line, which is also declining, is the optimistic profit target based on the triangle’s size. The horizontal gray line is placed at the strong resistance level formed by the August and January peaks. It can serve as a conservative take-profit level for this trade. My stop-loss will be placed at the low of the breakout bar or at the low of the preceding bar if the breakout bar is positioned mostly outside of the pattern. I will ignore bearish breakouts of this symmetrical triangle. I will consider the pattern invalidated if no breakout occurs by the end of the week. Please click on the image below to see the full-sized screenshot of the chart:

USD/RUB - Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on Daily Chart as of 2015-09-29

The chart was built with the help of ChannelPattern script. You can download my MetaTrader 4 chart template for this USD/RUB pattern. It can be traded using my free Chart Pattern Helper EA.

Update 2015-10-02 13:34 GMT: The buy order triggered just half an hour ago at 66.5469. The stop-loss was set to yesterday’s low of 64.7268. Take-profit is currently set to 76.5281 but will keep going down with the sloping target line. Also, I will probably exit the trade prematurely if the price lingers for too long near 71.6150 resistance line:

USD/RUB - Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on Daily Chart - Post-Entry Screenshot

Update 2015-10-05 14:25 GMT: The situation deteriorated quickly. The position has hit stop-loss at 64.7268 in today’s rather massive correction:

USD/RUB - Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on Daily Chart - Post-Exit Screenshot

If you have any questions or comments regarding this symmetrical triangle on USD/RUB chart, please feel free to submit them via the form below.

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