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Jobless Claims Rise, Probability of QE Increases, Dollar Falls

August 23, 2012 by

EUR/USD rose today for the fourth straight session after increasing US jobless claims increased chances that the Federal Reserve would implement quantitative easing yet again. Yesterday, the Fed policy minutes spurred speculations about to QE3 and today’s data spurred the talks further. The housing market looked good as new home sales increases last month more than expected.

Initial jobless claims rose from 368k to 372k last week. That is instead of a small decline to 365k that was predicted by forecasters. (Event A on the chart.)

New home sales were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 372k in July, while the median forecast was 363k. The June value was revised from 350k to 359k. (Event B on the chart.)

EUR/USD for 2012-08-23

If you have any comments on the recent EUR/USD action, please reply using the form below.

2 Responses to “Jobless Claims Rise, Probability of QE Increases, Dollar Falls”

  1. Jeff

    I still think the probability of QE3 is pretty low with everything that is happening, it is just too expensive especially for the third time in a row…

    Reply

    admin Reply:

    Expectation of QE3 is probably worth more to the markets than QE3 itself ;-).

    Reply

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