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EUR/USD Rises Ahead of Monetary Policy Meeting of Fed & ECB

July 31, 2012 by

EUR/USD was higher today as traders hoped for monetary easing from both the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank later this week. The US data was relatively good today except for personal spending that stalled last month.

Personal income rose 0.5% in June, matching forecasts, after it increased 0.3% in May. Personal spending was almost unchanged (posted 0.0% change), while analysts expected an increase by 0.1% and the May estimate showed a 0.1% drop. (Event A on the chart.)

S&P/Case-Shiller home price index was up from 138.67 in April to 139.93 in May. The annual decline was at 0.7%, less than the expected 1.5% and the April fall of 1.8%. (Event B on the chart.)

Chicago PMI rose from 52.9 in June to 53.7 in July. The increase surprised market participants pleasantly as they expected a decrease to 52.6. (Event C on the chart.)

Consumer confidence edged up to 65.9 in July from 62.7 in June. Another pleasant surprise as analysts’ estimates promised a drop to 61.5. The report said, though, that the confidence remained at historically low levels. (Event D on the chart.)

EUR/USD for 2012-07-31

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