Hikkake Chart Pattern

Introduction to hikkake

If you read Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader by Peter Brandt, among other good things, you would find a mention of a hikkake pattern there. Hikkake is often called a Japanese candlestick pattern, but in reality, it can be used with the common bar chart too as it doesn't rely on the Open and Close levels.

Hikkake was first described by a famous commodities trader, Daniel Chesler, in an April 2004 article in the Active Trader magazine. Hikkake, translated from Japanese, means "to trap" or "to ensnare". It is a false breakout pattern that tries to work out the failed inside day pattern. It is both a continuation and reversal pattern in terms that it can be met inside a bullish/bearish trend and offer a buy/sell trade opportunity; it can also be met inside a bullish/bearish trend and offer a sell/buy trade opportunity.

Hikkake details

The pattern consists of two bars (though the first one also relies on the previous bar). The first bar (the blue one, on the images below) is the inside bar — its high should be lower than the previous bar's high and its low should be higher than the previous bar's low. The second bar (magenta) should have either higher high and higher low for a bearish hikkake or lower low and lower high for a bullish hikkake. These two bars offer a hikkake setup, which is triggered if any one of the next three bars breaks through the high of the inside bar (for a bullish hikkake) or through its low (for a bearish hikkake):

Bullish hikkake pattern	Bearish hikkake pattern

The patterns shown above demonstrate a breakout line (dashed), which is violated by the second bar after the pattern is completed, triggering trading signals.

As you see on the chart, the direction of the bars (the Open/Close relation) doesn't matter. Hikkake pattern is particularly good for Forex traders because it doesn't take into account the Open/Close levels of the candles. This offers unspoiled performance in the foreign exchange market, which closes and opens only once a week.

Trading

A trading strategy involving the hikkake pattern is evident from the above examples. A trader sets up a pending stop entry order near the inside bar's high or low. The stop-loss is set to the high (for a bearish hikkake) or to the low (for the bullish one) of the pattern's second bar. The take-profit level can be set according to the trader's preference. Increments of the stop-loss value (1×SL, 2×SL or 3×SL) work well, and a trailing stop is another option.

Hikkake trading examples

Let's look at some real life examples of the hypothetical hikkake trades. The inside bars are colored blue, the second hikkake bars are colored magenta. Bright green bars are the inside bars that weren't followed by a higher high + higher low or lower low + lower high bars and thus didn't form a valid hikkake.

The examples shown on the first chart are from the November 2006 — March 2007 period. Those aren't some hand-picked instances — they represent average species of the chart pattern. Patterns A and D are not triggered by any of the three bars following the hikkake formation. Pattern B is triggered on the next bar and in two days reaches its target of 1×SL (stop-loss). Pattern C was triggered by the second post-formation bar and after 5 days it has reached a target of 1×SL.

The second chart shows examples from the March-June 2007 period. This chart is actually rich on hikkake, especially those that never trigger. Patterns A, C, D, G, H, I, and J fail to trigger. The pattern B shoots on the second day and the 1×SL target is fulfilled on the fourth day. The pattern E turns out to be a long-term one — although it is triggered on the first day, the take-profit level isn't reached until day 13. The pattern F is quite unlucky — it gets both triggered and stopped out on the day #1. It is the only loser (with a rather tight stop-loss though) across these two charts.

Conclusion

Hikkake is far from being a bullet-proof pattern. It also doesn't offer too much trading opportunities. Nevertheless, it is a flexible chart figure that offers a chance to trade using pending orders and it has proven to be reliable enough to at least test it further.

If you have any questions or comments regarding the hikkake chart pattern, you can discuss it on our Forex forum.

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