Ava FX - Professional Trading in a New Way

Archive for October, 2007

Success Story of a Part Time Forex Trader

Tuesday, October 16th, 2007

A new Forex article was added to my collection today. Hearing another success story of the Forex trader might as old to some people, as motivating to others. I think this one will be at least useful to many Forex traders. Experienced and professional Forex traders can say that part time Forex trading can’t be good and that it will always lack the “full market control and awareness”. Yes, I’d agree with them to some extent, but still, part time trading remains the only option to many Forex beginners (and not only beginners, just not professionals). So, here it is:

How I became a successful part time trader - by Joe Chalhoub

Street Smarts - a Book About Short-Term Forex Strategies

Monday, October 15th, 2007

A new Forex strategy e-book now can be downloaded from my site - this time it’s about many (really a lot) powerful short term strategies and the basic rules of trading Forex using such strategies. It even has a chapter on Wolfe Waves - one of my best trading method for Forex charts. But don’t expect to spend 20-30 minutes to read some strategy from this e-books and begin earning millions in a few days. This is a big book with highly interconnected information that will help you a lot in your strategy building as a whole book, not separate chapters. Be prepared for some long but very interesting and educating reading:

Street Smarts - High Probability Short Term Strategies - by Laurence A. Connors and Linda Bradford Raschke.

FXcast Announces Trading Competition

Sunday, October 14th, 2007

FXcast Forex broker announced a Forex traders competition which will be held on real accounts from the 1st till 30th of November with the best trader to receive $5,000 prize. Minimum account size for the competition is not high - just $250, but that will surely add more adrenaline for the participants and will make the whole event more exciting. On the other side - real accounts will stop some traders from entering this championship. Nevertheless, such competition can be useful for all Forex traders as their skills will be tested both against big greed and the excessive moderation.

If you want to join the competition follow these guidelines:

  1. FXcast will start a trading competition on the real accounts Forex market (no demo accounts).
  2. Become a customer of FXcast if you are not already one.
  3. Open a special competition account in your membership area.
  4. Deposit $250 to your competition account.
  5. Start trading at the 1st of November.
  6. The trader with the highest closing ballance (no open positions!) on November the 30th will be declared a winner and receive $5,000 in cash.

Good luck with winning on Forex!

Forex Technical Analysis for 10/15-10/19 Week

Saturday, October 13th, 2007

EUR/USD trend: sell.
GBP/USD trend: sell.
USD/JPY trend: hold.
EUR/JPY trend: hold.


Floor Pivot Points:
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.3823 1.3919 1.4048 1.4144 1.4273 1.4369 1.4498
GBP/USD 2.0012 2.0128 2.0243 2.0359 2.0474 2.0590 2.0705
USD/JPY 116.03 116.41 117.01 117.39 117.99 118.37 118.97
EUR/JPY 161.24 162.69 164.71 166.16 168.18 169.63 171.65

Woodie’s Pivot Points:
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.3927 1.4065 1.4152 1.4290 1.4377
GBP/USD 2.0128 2.0243 2.0359 2.0474 2.0590
USD/JPY 116.41 117.01 117.39 117.99 118.37
EUR/JPY 162.69 164.71 166.16 168.18 169.63

Camarilla Pivot Points:
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.4053 1.4115 1.4136 1.4156 1.4198 1.4218 1.4239 1.4301
GBP/USD 2.0230 2.0293 2.0315 2.0336 2.0378 2.0399 2.0421 2.0484
USD/JPY 117.06 117.33 117.42 117.51 117.69 117.78 117.87 118.14
EUR/JPY 164.81 165.77 166.08 166.40 167.04 167.36 167.67 168.63


Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.4240 2.0476 117.78 167.62
61.8% 1.4154 2.0388 117.41 166.29
50.0% 1.4128 2.0361 117.29 165.89
38.2% 1.4101 2.0333 117.17 165.48
23.6% 1.4068 2.0300 117.03 164.97
0.0% 1.4015 2.0245 116.80 164.15

Dollar Regains Positions After Mixed News

Friday, October 12th, 2007

After yesterday’s EUR/USD high peaks dollar is showing a good trend today moving the EUR/USD pair back to below 1.4200 levels hitting bottom 1.4150 mark. That of course can be considered as an ongoing correction for the previous weeks growth of Euro, especially considering that there were too few good news for the U.S. economy on which the dollar growth could have been based.

Monthly retails sales report for the September was among good news - 0.6% growth (0.2% was the expected value).

Producer Price Index came out good to with 1.1% growth against 0.5% expected by analysts. But the core component of PPI was very low - just 0.1% (0.2% expected). So, the big growth of PPI can be accounted on the recent oil price rally.

Among bad news, the business inventories in August added only 0.1%, which significantly below the already pessimistic forecast of 0.3% growth.

Continuing its stagnation and some recent decrease Michigan Sentiment index (preliminary!) showed a decrease from 83.4 to 82.0 points, thus not meeting the optimistic expectations (84.0).

Dollar Loses On Good U.S. Trade Balance

Thursday, October 11th, 2007

A significantly improved trade balance of the United States was reported today with the value of -$57.6B ($1.6B improvement from previous month). While narrowing trade balance deficit is a good news for the whole U.S. economy a reaction on this news wasn’t very good on the currency market. Dollar stopped its strengthening and gave up almost 100 points against Euro currency hitting 1.4240 daily maximum on EUR/USD.

Some other good news came from employment sector of the economy, showing that only 308k jobless claims were issued last week, which is slightly better than 320k of the previous report.

On the bad side U.S. oil inventories had a rather sharp fall last week - 1.7M barrels, which is especially worrying just before the heating season. But the whole inventories volume is above average level, so it might be not so bad after all.

FXcast Now Offers Exchange Service

Tuesday, October 9th, 2007

FXcast Forex broker now offers e-currency exchange services to its customers. They offer almost free exchange of e-gold to WebMoney or Liberty Reserve. This service is done with the low 2.7% commission which is fully compensated after the trader close a specific amount of positions This amount is determined as $10 of commission for every 1 full standard Forex lot. I think it is a good addition to a Forex broker that is focusing on e-currencies and many active traders will use it.

Initial quote from FXcast newsmail - removed regarding the request from FXcast.

Interview with FXOpen Forex Broker

Monday, October 8th, 2007

Recently I’ve asked management from FXOpen to answer several questions in a format of an interview to get more information on this fast developing on-line Forex broker. Denis P., FXOpen Head Manager, agreed to answer these questions and now I can present them to you. They are an on-line Forex broker which was previously known as FXEgypt and rebranded to FXOpen just about two months ago. You can find more information on this broker here.

You’ve re branded from FXEgypt to FXOpen recently. Was it a successful step for your business?


Changing the name of the company and forming an exciting, new brand was something thatwe had planned for quite some time. FXOpen is an international brand which is clear and easily understandable for people from different countries and different religions and cultures. FXEgypt will remain as our regional representation for Egypt, as well as FXMalay for Malaysia, FXFrench for France for example.

FXOpen gives an impression of a broker that targets mainly Muslim traders, or traders from generally Islamic countries. Is it your marketing strategy? Or is this a misunderstanding, and that your business model is equally structured for any kind of a Forex trader?

FXOpen began it’s business from Egypt. Our first project was FXEgypt which was targeting Egyptian clients and people located in and around Egypt, and of course, most of them are Muslims. Since early 2007, our company has developed a lot and opened new markets also in Islamic countries, but that doesn’t mean that we are marketing for Islamic traders exclusively. FXOpen offers the same quality of service for any client from any country and any culture.

Your trading software, MetaTrader 4 is a powerful trading platform. MT4 holds great potential for people to program their own automated expert advisors. Do you limit your traders in using automated experts?

Yes, MetaTrader 4 is a great program from a company called MetaQuotes. We do allow EA trading, however, there is a restriction on the quantity of trades that may be opened at the same time. You may have a maximum of 100 positions open at the same time. Apart from that, there are no other restrictions for automated expert advisors.

Trading courses are available on your site. Do you think that it is important for Forex brokers to educate their clients? Do many of your clients take advantage of this training?

Currently we do not offer online courses, but you may attend live seminars or courses proposed by our representatives. This option is very popular in Egypt for example. We believe that all traders, not just absolute beginners should have a good understanding of the market and how to trade it before risking their money in a Forex trading account. The training may take one week, one year, or even longer, but this investment in training is something that will pay for itself over and over again.

FXOpen supports almost all e-currency methods of payment that are currently available. Do you think that e-currencies are the future of Forex trading, or you are just trying to keep up with the customers’ demand?

E-currency transfers are very popular with our customers. We believe that e-currency methods of deposit/withdrawals have a great future due to their convenience and the fact that internet businesses, all relying on convenient e-currencies have exploded in popularity in recent years. However, quite a few clients are using the traditional wire transfer method.

What’s your point of view on those that treat Forex trading as a gambling? What are the main differences between trading and gambling, in your opinion?

When you treat FX trading as gambling, you become a player in a casino and as you know, the casino always wins. If anyone wants to become a trader he or she needs to understand that a trader’s job is the same as a doctor or chauffeur… A Doctor’s mistake may cause health problems, a chauffeur’s mistake, a car crash. Mistakes by traders causes money loss. While there are often, unexpected or unplanned situations that arise during the trading week, for the most part, the FOREX market works according to a well defined list of rules, like the rules of Physics. Following these rules will usually give a positive result.

There are many on-line Forex brokers available nowadays, and you appear to be one of the most popular. What special features help you to attract traders? Do you have a secret weapon that is an essential component of your success?

Success is constructed from small steps, combined to make the whole. Support+Promotion+Services and a bit of luck of course, all combine to make FXOpen a attractive broker to work with. Our main target is to serve each client as if he or she is the company’s only client. Private contact and personalised service is very important to us. Our clients are our friends.

Forex trading in the Islamic world is quite a controversial topic, due to its overnight interest payments and marginal nature and the perception that it is a form of gambling. What would you say to Muslims that want to trade Forex?

Trading is a JOB and isn’t gambling at all unless you want to treat it as a game or a get rich quick scheme. Every single successful trader out there today has approached the market as a career choice rather than a passing fancy in the hope of a quick buck. Training, dedication, and persistence is essential to trade Forex. The swap interest issue is something that we take very seriously for our Islamic clients. As you may know, Islamic Shariah Law forbids Muslims from dealing with any form of Riba (Interest, Usury), so for our Islamic clients, unlike many other brokers, we offer a swap free account option where no overnight interest is earned or charged to their accounts.

Fundamental and technical analysis often contradict each other. In your opinion, what is the most successful approach to Forex trading?

Most traders (about 90%) are utilising technical analysis only. However, technical traders often consider fundamentals when reading the charts. To ensure your success, you should always bring a least a little of the fundamental considerations into the charts before making trade decisions.

What are the future plans of FXOpen? Are there any new features planned, if this is not a commercial secret?

We have recently launched a brand new website http://www.fxopen.com, and have introduced an advanced trader’s cabinet. We have several promotions running already, which you can check by visiting http://www.fxopen.com/OurPromotions.aspx. We are also planning to add new trading instruments during October and increase the speed and reliability of the trading servers. FXOpen will always work towards upgrading our services to fulfill all of our client’s needs! Our open door policy is our commercial secret. When the client talks, we listen and bend over backwards to make them happy. This is the FXOpen edge.

Hope you learned something interesting and useful about FXOpen and their view on Forex trading from this interview. If you have some comments regarding this interview or FXOpen broker, feel free to leave them here, or send via this contact form.

Employment Situation in U.S. Improving

Friday, October 5th, 2007

Dollar continues its volatile market dance with Euro currency undecided whether to go south back to 1.4000 or break through to 1.4500. Recent bad fundamental news made positive effect on dollar, most probably because of financial institutions cashing out of stock markets. But today this “bad news - strong dollar” trend was broken.

September nonfarm payrolls came out at 110k - even better than already optimistic expectations of analysts (100k). More than that, extremely bad August result (-4k) was revised towards a much better one (89k), showing that U.S. employment market is still strong and is not dramatically affected by subprime lending crisis.

Among other employment market indicators today came out: unemployment rate - 4.7%, average hourly earnings - 0.4% increase, average workweek - 33.8%.

Carnival of Forex Trading - October 4, 2007

Thursday, October 4th, 2007

Welcome to the October 4, 2007 edition of carnival of Forex trading. Only three quality Forex trading articles this time - definitely not too many. But they all are worth reading. No useless talking, but an interesting reading.

Thomas Ott presents A Review Of My Forex Trading posted at Neural Market Trends, saying, “I’m closing in on my 1 year anniversary of trading Forex my $100 Forex Experiment. I did really well ($ wise) in the beginning of the year only to get smacked hard between May and June.”

Thomas Ott presents US Interest Rates VS Currencies | Neural Market Trends posted at Neural Market Trends, saying, “A quick analysis that shows long term correlation between US interest rates and currencies. Part of a brain tease.”

Stirling Newberry presents Why the dollar is taking another beating now posted at The Agonist, saying, “The outlook for the US dollar is a constant and continued erosion, followed by an extended period where the dollar will be very weak compared to other currencies, until there are clear signs of a change in policy regime in the United States. The issue is confidence.”



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