Forex Blog

Now you can download two more excellent Forex e-books about a role of the traders’ psychology in their success or failure (which is without a doubt a more often case) . These e-books are not very big or complicated, just an hour of interesting and useful Forex reading:

• 25 Rules Of Forex Trading Discipline - as the title suggest, a set of rules that are necessary to be followed to be a successful Forex trader.
• Stop Losses Are For Sissies - there is a sarcasm in the title of this e-book, really :-).

FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) released its May 9 meeting Minutes on Wednesday, May 30. As it has been known since May 9 the conclusion of the meeting states that the inflation remains the main concern for the FOMC, while in future FOMC will outlook both inflation and economic growth. Statements presented in the released Minutes generally support this conclusion giving some more power for the USD bulls. This could be seen yesterday on Forex market when EUR/USD hit its new low since April 11 at 1.3406.

Euro showed a really fast and heart-breaking (for some traders at least) rally of 100 pips today before the major daily fundamental event - May Consumer Confidence Index. After hitting its resistance level at 1.3517 EUR/USD calmed down a bit rolling back to 1.3500 level. May Consumer Confidence Index which came out to be 108.0 against 104.5 expected ended Euro rally moving EUR/USD to 1.3475 level. Many other macroeconomic indicators are scheduled for this week, so Forex traders must be aware of possible rallies and rollbacks similar to those seen today.

The topic of Forex trading prohibition in Islam is vast and controversial. Many points of view exist on different aspects of on-line Forex trading including - spot trading, futures and options trading, margin trading, overnight interest, etc. The majority of the Islamic jurists agrees that Forex trading can comply with Sharia only if it is spot trading (while futures and options are considered to earn Riba) and if it doesn’t involve any overnight interest (or interest hid by commissions, though Muslim traders should know that not all commissions are to hide overnight interest). One of the main point of debate lies in margin trading (almost every transaction in Forex is based on margin) and hedging (it is compared to futures trading usually). Dr. Mohammed Obaidullah of Universiti Tun Abdul Razak (located in Malaysia) discusses this topic in his article - Islamic Forex Trading. It is a well grounded article covering every aspect of Forex trading and providing references to the fundamental Islamic sources. Among other things, Dr. Mohammed Obaidullah proves margin Forex trading to be legal for Muslims, as long as it doesn’t involve any Riba (unlike some other Islamic jurists who look at margin Forex trading as forbidden activity). In this articles the Forex hedging is also analysed and is seen as the source of Riba income. I strongly recommend reading this article to all Muslim traders and those who want to start trading Forex while remaining a lawful Islamic believer.

Another Forex broker added to the list - PFG Forex - an on-line brokerage company operated by Peregrine Financial Group (founded in 1980). This Forex broker is registered with CFTC and is a member of National Futures Association. The good thing about it is that it’s “only” $1,000 minimum account while giving the trader an opportunity to try high-end trading platforms (not only Forex, but futures and commodities too!). What’s quite uncommon for such big brokers - one can open account on-line, sending only scanned passport ID.

General trend: bearish or ranging.

Floor pivot points:
3rd Sup__2nd Sup__1st Sup__Pivot____1st Res__2nd Res__3rd Res
1.3272___1.3341___1.3392___1.3461__1.3512___1.3581___1.3632

Woodie’s pivot points:
2nd Sup__1st Sup__Pivot____1st Res__2nd Res
1.3337___1.3382___1.3457___1.3502__1.3577

Camarilla pivot points:
4th Sup__3rd Sup__2nd Sup__1st Sup__1st Res__2nd Res__3rd Res__4th Res
1.3376___1.3409___1.3420___1.3431__1.3453___1.3464___1.3475___1.3508

Tom DeMark’s pivot points:
Resistance: 1.3486
Support: 1.3366

Fibonacci retracement levels:
100% - 1.3531
61,8% - 1.3485
50,0% - 1.3471
38,2% - 1.3457
23,6% - 1.3439
00,0% - 1.3411

Forex market was quite predictable today after the data on the Existing Home Sales for April came in 15:00 GMT. This macroeconomic indicator showed very poor results - 5.99 millions against 6.13 millions expected (and 6.15 millions in March). After these data came out EUR/USD gained nearly 50 pips (up to 1.3572) as the low activity in the realty industry can mean a general weakness in the U.S. economy. EUR/USD has almost fully rolled back already. But the great thing is that every Forex trader can always use monthly Existing Home Sales report to gain some fast profit on this news reaction.

EUR/USD touched new its new monthly low at 1.3416. That was a very important movement for Euro bears, but the currency pair bounced back up to high 1.3500 very soon and then flattened down to 1.3460 - showing its volatile nature. Nevertheless, mid-term trend for EUR/USD can be seen as bearish. At the same time GBP returned its positions today on Forex market after Bank of England spoke about increasing interest rates by .50% not the usual and expected 0.25% giving a lot of strength to the Pound bulls. GBP/USD touched 1.9892 and then corrected a bit to 1.9850 level.

I’ve added a new expert advisor to MT4 Expert Advisors section of the site - myfxovereasy Expert Advisor + FXOverEasy Indicators. It’s my own EA based on FXOverEasy indicators, or more exactly - on their combo by Shimodax from StrategyBuilder forum. Actually this Forex expert advisor trades against FXOverEasy strategy, but it showed very good results on EUR/USD M15 chart. But be careful, it is quite risky, don’t trade the money you cannot afford to lose. Don’t forget to leave your comment if you use this indicator

Today EUR/USD hit new monthly minimum at 1.3436 since April 12. The most probable reason for this dollar “mini-rally” is the U.S. bonds auction which provoked a lot of USD buying on Forex. Such auctions usually stimulate a demand for the U.S. currency and this time it helps to break the bullish daily EUR/USD trend.